2020-Nguema, Juan Ndong - Student Capstone Presentation - Numerical Simulation of Ebola Outbreak

By Arati Nanda Pati

Department of Mathematics, Computer Science, and Cooperative Engineering, University of St. Thomas, Houston TX USA

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Spring 2020: Capstone Project

Juan Ndong Nguema, University of St. Thomas, Houston, TX 77006

Advisor: Dr. Arati Nanda Pati

The Ebola virus disease is a serious infectious disease with the highest mortality rate that is considered as one of the most contagious diseases. Our goal is to construct a mathematical model to devise the optimal Ebola outbreak simulation, and through a numerical simulation predict the behavior of the Ebola outbreak.


1.    "Ebola Virus Disease." World Health Organization, World Health Organization, www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/ebola-virus-disease.  

2.    Viral Special Pathogens Branch (VSPB). "Ebola (Ebola Virus Disease) | CDC." CDC, 5 Nov. 2019, www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/index.html.

3.    CK-12. "Euler's Numerical Methods (Improved Euler, Runge-Kutta)." CK, CK-12 Foundation, 16 Aug. 2016, www.ck12.org/calculus/Eulers-Numerical-Methods-Improved-Euler-Runge-Kutta/lesson/Numerical-Methods-for-Solving-ODEs-CALC/.

4.    Chretien, Jean-Paul, et al. "Mathematical Modeling of the West Africa Ebola Epidemic." ELife, ELife Sciences Publications, Ltd, 8 Dec. 2015, elifesciences.org/articles/09186.

5.    EL Rhoubari, Z., Besbassi, H., Hattaf, K. and Yousfi, N. (2020). Mathematical Modeling of Ebola Virus Disease in Bat Population.


Juan Ndong Nguema is a senior at the University of St. Thomas, Houston TX. This presentation is a part of his senior research project on mathematical modeling.


This project was conducted under the supervision of Dr. Arati Nanda Pati. The author wishes to acknowledge SIMIODE for data and information used in this project.


This project was supported by a undergraduate research grant from the University of St. Thomas awarded to A. Pati



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  • Arati Nanda Pati (2020), "2020-Nguema, Juan Ndong - Student Capstone Presentation - Numerical Simulation of Ebola Outbreak," https://www.simiode.org/resources/7634.

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